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Mines and energy

How to shield emerging mining markets from artificial fluctuations caused, notably, by the Chinese monopoly?

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Room 401 - Hydro-Québec

Session organizer

Jocelyn Douhéret

MRNF

LinkedIn

Today’s geopolitical issues are accelerating the race for critical and strategic minerals (CSMs). Over the past twenty years, protective measures in the mining sector have increased fivefold. Currently, China’s near-monopoly in the production and transformation of CSMs means that it can influence world market prices to its advantage, further strengthening its dominant position. This affects the availability of substances needed to develop technologies involved in the energy transition, the IT sector and the defense industry.

China’s control therefore impacts the development of North American mining projects and their integration into emerging value chains such as batteries, hydrogen and microprocessors. CSM mining and transformation projects outside China are fragile and sensitive to market fluctuations, which considerably slows the pace of their development.

In this context, a good understanding of market dynamics and evolution is essential. In addition, the question arises as to how to protect these emerging markets from artificial market fluctuations induced, in particular, by the Chinese monopoly?

This session will be offered in French and in English.

9:00 a.m.

Welcome address

9:05 a.m.

To come

9:30 a.m.

An overview of the lithium, cobalt and graphite markets and their supply chains

Conference details

This presentation will cover the fundamentals of the lithium, cobalt and graphite markets.

The energy transition involves substituting fossil fuels with metals, which are therefore increasingly seen as strategic.

In the automotive space, China was a particularly early mover into electric vehicle market. As a result, China has very quickly developed a supply chain for electric vehicle batteries.

For the rest of the world, which is mostly beginning this transition, one important issue is how to obtain the required raw materials or batteries? Should these be purchase in China, where the industry is already developed, our should countries create their own supply chains that are independent of China?

9:55 a.m.

The China Hazard: How Beijing Strategically Controls the Global Battery Supply Chain

Emma Bishop

Venn Strategies

Conference details

This session will provide an overview of the key learnings in the newly released report commissioned by the Battery Materials & Technology Coalition, and compiled by Horizon Advisory, that details how the Chinese government in concert with its industry and financial sector established control of the battery supply chain. This includes how China leverages its natural resources, secured access to the natural resources of other countries, invested in massive processing capabilities, and utilizes market tools to maintain control. To counter this dominance, the U.S., Canada, and allies must consider stronger protections for a supply chain free from China's grasp.

10:20 a.m.

To come

Stéphane Bourg

BRGM, OFREMI

10:45 a.m.

Trends in financing models of mining projects

Conference details

The demand for critical minerals is growing rapidly, but the mining sector lacks the capital to support supply. This presentation explores the barriers faced by investors in the mining sector and proposes some tools that public authorities could use to de-risk projects, particularly in a context where there is strong pressure from China and where price manipulation impacts the business models of companies in North America.

11:10 a.m.

Closing Remarks