{"id":82592,"date":"2020-04-10T13:04:21","date_gmt":"2020-04-10T17:04:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mrnf.gouv.qc.ca\/nos-publications\/potential-change-distribution-abundant-wide-ranging-forest-salamander\/"},"modified":"2020-04-10T13:04:21","modified_gmt":"2020-04-10T17:04:21","slug":"potential-change-distribution-abundant-wide-ranging-forest-salamander","status":"publish","type":"cpt_publication","link":"https:\/\/mrnf.gouv.qc.ca\/en\/our-publications\/potential-change-distribution-abundant-wide-ranging-forest-salamander\/","title":{"rendered":"Potential change in the distribution of an abundant and wide-ranging forest salamander in a context of climate change"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Published in <strong>Front. Biogeogr. 9(4): e33282. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.21425\/F59433282<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Climate change already affects species in many ecosystems worldwide. Since climate is an important component of a species\u2019 ecological niche, up-to-date information about climatic niches is needed to model future species distributions in a context of climate change. The eastern red-backed salamander (<em>Plethodon cinereus<\/em>) is a wide-ranging woodland species and one of the most abundant verte-brates in northeastern North America. Though salamanders contrib-ute to several forest ecosystem functions, little is known about their climatic niche and future distribution. Using a dataset of 400,090 observations from 8302 localities in 5 Canadian provinces and 22 American states, we determined the current climatic niche of <em>P. cinereus <\/em>and predicted how the species\u2019 distribution could shift in a context of climate change, especially in the northern part of its range. We also aimed to document factors that could affect the species\u2019 distribution. We show that <em>P. cinereus<\/em> can live in various geographic and climatic conditions and tolerate a wide range of seasonal temperatures. The species\u2019 current potential and future (until 2061\u20132080) distributions show a gap of up to 400 km with the northern limit of its current observed distribution. Assuming a mean colonization rate of approximately 100 m per year, we calculated that <em>P. cinereus<\/em> would need about 4000 years to reach the northern limit of the future distribution range modeled for the 2061\u20132080 period. The climate-modeled future distribution suggests that the presence of <em>P. cinereus<\/em> could decrease in the south and increase in the north. This, combined with the potential presence of habitats that are unsuitable for the species\u2019 colonization in the north and with interspecific inter-actions in the south, could induce a contraction of the species\u2019 range. Regardless of climate warming, the physical environment and natural and anthropic disturbances could also limit the species\u2019 northern post-glaciation migration.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Published in Front. Biogeogr. 9(4): e33282. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.21425\/F59433282 Climate change already affects species in many ecosystems worldwide. Since climate is an important component of a species\u2019 ecological niche, up-to-date information about climatic niches is needed to model future species distributions in a context of climate change. The eastern red-backed salamander (Plethodon cinereus) is a wide-ranging woodland [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","format":"standard","cptt_secteur":[1179],"cptt_theme":[1183,1185,1180,1181],"cptt_categ_publi":[1149],"cptt_auteurs_ministeriels":[1092,1099],"class_list":["post-82592","cpt_publication","type-cpt_publication","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","cptt_secteur-forests","cptt_theme-ecosystems-and-environment","cptt_theme-forest-ecology","cptt_theme-forestry-research","cptt_theme-forests","cptt_categ_publi-scientific-article","cptt_auteurs_ministeriels-m-c-lambert","cptt_auteurs_ministeriels-j-d-moore"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Potential change in the distribution of an abundant and wide-ranging forest salamander in a context of climate change - Minist\u00e8re des Ressources naturelles et des For\u00eats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Climate change already affects species in many ecosystems worldwide. 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