{"id":82025,"date":"2019-01-30T12:17:55","date_gmt":"2019-01-30T17:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mrnf.gouv.qc.ca\/nos-publications\/beneficial-effects-climate-warming-transitory\/"},"modified":"2019-01-30T12:17:55","modified_gmt":"2019-01-30T17:17:55","slug":"beneficial-effects-climate-warming-transitory","status":"publish","type":"cpt_publication","link":"https:\/\/mrnf.gouv.qc.ca\/en\/our-publications\/beneficial-effects-climate-warming-transitory\/","title":{"rendered":"Beneficial effects of climate warming on boreal tree growth may be transitory"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Published in <strong>Nature Communications 9(1): 3213. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-018-05705-4<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Predicted increases in temperature and aridity across the boreal forest region have the potential to alter timber supply and carbon sequestration. Given the widely-observed variation in species sensitivity to climate, there is an urgent need to develop species-specific predictive models that can account for local conditions. Here, we matched the growth of 270,000 trees across a 761,100\u2009km<sup>2<\/sup> region with detailed site-level data to quantify the growth responses of the seven most common boreal tree species in Eastern Canada to changes in climate. Accounting for spatially-explicit species-specific responses, we find that while 2\u2009\u00b0C of warming may increase overall forest productivity by 13\u2009\u00b1\u20093% (mean\u2009\u00b1\u2009SE) in the absence of disturbance, additional warming could reverse this trend and lead to substantial declines exacerbated by reductions in water availability. Our results confirm the transitory nature of warming-induced growth benefits in the boreal forest and highlight the vulnerability of the ecosystem to excess warming and drying.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Published in Nature Communications 9(1): 3213. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-018-05705-4 Predicted increases in temperature and aridity across the boreal forest region have the potential to alter timber supply and carbon sequestration. Given the widely-observed variation in species sensitivity to climate, there is an urgent need to develop species-specific predictive models that can account for local conditions. Here, we [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","format":"standard","cptt_secteur":[1179],"cptt_theme":[1183,1185,1184,1180,1181],"cptt_categ_publi":[1149],"cptt_auteurs_ministeriels":[1082,1091],"class_list":["post-82025","cpt_publication","type-cpt_publication","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","cptt_secteur-forests","cptt_theme-ecosystems-and-environment","cptt_theme-forest-ecology","cptt_theme-forest-growth-and-yield-modelling","cptt_theme-forestry-research","cptt_theme-forests","cptt_categ_publi-scientific-article","cptt_auteurs_ministeriels-duchesne-louis","cptt_auteurs_ministeriels-d-houle"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Beneficial effects of climate warming on boreal tree growth may be transitory - Minist\u00e8re des Ressources naturelles et des For\u00eats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Predicted increases in temperature and aridity across the boreal forest have the potential to alter timber supply and carbon sequestration.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mrnf.gouv.qc.ca\/en\/our-publications\/beneficial-effects-climate-warming-transitory\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Beneficial effects of climate warming on boreal tree growth may be transitory - 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